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maverick
08-09-2009, 07:31 AM
Tata Steel: Firmness In Long Steel Price Shows Underlying Firm Demand

The firmness that we are witnessing in Secondary prices across India over last few days may have a fundamental reason.

The govt has changed the mechanism of charging the royality on iron ore produced from leased mines from fixed Rs 27/t to 10% of iron-ore prices wef 13th aug09. At current iron-ore prices ex-Barbil @ Rs 3150/t, this works out to Rs 315/t. After considering yield, the net impact of this on producing sponge iron will be in the region of Rs 600-700/t.

Further, the unauthorized mines in Barbil region have been ordered to shutdown leading to a shortage and near panic situation amongst people connected with that business/trade.

This is a big change...and well may be the trigger for any recovery in rebar prices.Sponge iron prices have already reacted witnessing a jump of Rs 1000/t over last one week in Durgapur belt triggering a similar rise in ingot and rebar prices. The cascading effect can be felt elsewhere too.